TrueFairNews Beta Version Senate Election Prediction Model
TrueFairNews puts its first Alpha version of the Senate Election Model based on past election results. This model does not take into account the polls. TFN also built a version of this model based on polling data just for reference to guage how off both models are.
Why are the 2022 midterms important for the Democrats and the Republicans based on their top 3 issues?
In the late 1990's until the 2008, the Democrat & the Republican's were different only on a few policies, compared to 2022. Based on issues mentioned on the candidates campaign websites, talking points on main stream media by the the readers or their closing statements during the election debates, and most importantly on the ads they spend their money on. The Democratic party leadership like President Obama & President Biden talking points helped curate this list for the Democrat party. With
Republicans in Wisconsin criticize Mandela Barnes over crime, hinting at a changing election message
The ads, which use what Barnes has said in interviews over the past few years, show how the GOP's strategy is changing with less than two months until the midterm elections.
Omar defeats a moderate in Minnesota's House primary
Against a centrist rival who questioned the incumbent's backing for the "defund the police" campaign, Minnesota Rep. Ilhan Omar, a member of the progressive squad, narrowly won the Democratic primary on Tuesday. Another progressive, Becca Balint, had a much easier time of it after she won the Democratic primary for the Vermont House of Representatives, making history by becoming the first woman to represent the state in Congress. In Minnesota, a Republican was being nominated to fill Rep. Jim
2016 Wisconsin General Election Story (Senate)
Ron Johnson received 1.5M (50.2 %) votes, beating Russ Feingold who gained 1.4M (46.8 %) by 99.1k votes in Wisconsin.
2016 Washington General Election Story (Senate)
Patty Murray received 1.9M (59.0 %) votes, beating Chris Vance who gained 1.3M (41.0 %) by 584.6k votes in Washington.
2016 Ohio General Election Story (Senate)
Rob Portman received 3.1M (58.0 %) votes, beating Ted Strickland who gained 2M (37.2 %) by 1.1M votes in Ohio.
2016 Utah General Election Story (Senate)
Mike Lee received 760.2k (68.2 %) votes, beating Misty Snow who gained 301.9k (27.1 %) by 458.4k votes in Utah.
2016 North Dakota General Election Story (Senate)
John Hoeven received 268.8k (78.6 %) votes, beating Eliot Glassheim who gained 58.1k (17.0 %) by 210.7k votes in North Dakota.
2016 New Hampshire General Election Story (Senate)
Maggie Hassan received 354.6k (48.0 %) votes, beating Kelly Ayotte who gained 353.6k (47.9 %) by 1k votes in New Hampshire.
2016 Pennsylvania General Election Story (Senate)
Patrick J. Toomey received 3M (48.8 %) votes, beating Katie McGinty who gained 2.9M (47.3 %) by 86.7k votes in Pennsylvania.
2016 South Dakota General Election Story (Senate)
John Thune received 265.5k (71.8 %) votes, beating Jay Williams who gained 104.1k (28.2 %) by 161.4k votes in South Dakota.